How to Trade Walmart After Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance
Established in 1962, Walmart has grown to operate over 10,000 stores and employs more than 2.2 million people across 19 countries. Recognised as one of the largest retailers globally, it is a key indicator of economic trends and consumer spending behaviour. Learn more about Walmart's fiscal first-quarter 2026 performance and what analysts are forecasting for the stock.
This material is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
| Stock: | Walmart Inc. |
| Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: | WMT |
| Date of Idea: | 19 May 2025 |
| Time Line: | 1 - 12 months |
| Entry Level: | $99.40 |
| Target Level: | $120.00 |
| Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: | Max 5% |
| Risk: | High |
- The Invest.MT5 account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
- Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
- Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.
Walmart Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance
Here are some of the key highlights from the fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings report from Walmart:
- Earnings per share: 61 cents vs 58 cents expected
- Revenue: $165.61 billion vs $165.84 billion expected
- Net income: $4.49 billion, compared with $5.10 billion in the prior year
- Full-year fiscal forecast: 3% to 4%
- US and global e-commerce businesses post first profitable quarter
Walmart beat analyst expectations on earnings per share but missed estimates on revenue. However, revenue did rise 2.5% from the same time in the prior year. This was the first quarterly revenue miss since February 2020.
E-commerce sales rose 21% in the US and 22% globally. The growth was largely attributed to higher margins in online advertising and its third-party marketplace. The retailer declined to offer guidance for earnings per share in the next quarter due to the changes in US tariff policy.
A major concern for Walmart and other retailers is the uncertainty regarding future trade tariffs. Roughly one-third of what Walmart sells in the US comes from other countries like China, Vietnam, India and Mexico. The retailer has already started to reduce the size of some purchases that it believes may sell less due to price increases from higher tariffs.
In the earnings call, it reiterated that price hikes from tariffs could start later this month. Some analysts have moved to a hold rating on the stock as highlighted below.
Walmart Stock Forecast - What do the Analysts Say?
According to 31 Wall Street analysts, polled by TipRanks, offering a 12-month stock price forecast for Walmart over the past 3 months, there are currently 29 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell ratings on the stock. The highest price level for a Walmart stock forecast is $120.00 with the lowest price target at $91.00.
The average price target for a Walmart stock forecast is $109.27.
An Example Trading Idea for the Walmart Stock Price
The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions.
An example trading idea for the Walmart share price could be as follows:
- Buy the stock on a break above its post-earnings high at $99.40 to allow for volatility.
- Target just below the highest analyst price target of $120.00.
- Keep your risk small at a maximum of 5% of your total account.
- Time Line = 1 – 12 months
- If you buy 10 Walmart shares:
- If target is reached = $206.00 potential profit [($120.00 - $99.40) * 10 shares].
Remember that markets go up and down. In fact, the stock price may even go much further down, especially due to some of the headwinds Walmart faces from trade tariff uncertainty.
It is important to exercise good risk management and always know how much you could potentially lose on a trade and the risks involved, as well as the costs.
With the Admiral Markets Invest.MT5 account, you can buy and sell US stocks with a commission from $0.02 per share. This means buying 10 shares in Walmart stock would result in a commission of $0.20 ($0.02 * 10 shares) for executing a per-side transaction.
However, there is a minimum transaction fee of $1. So, the example trading idea above would result in a commission of $1 overall.
How to Buy Walmart Stock in 4 Steps
With Admiral Markets, you can buy shares in US companies like Walmart with a commission from $0.02 per share and a minimum commission of $1.
- Open an account with Admiral Markets to access the dashboard.
- Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
- Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
- Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Do You See the Walmart Stock Price Moving Differently?
If you believe there is a higher chance the share price of Walmart will move lower, then you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article.
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4. The Analysis is prepared by an analyst (hereinafter “Author”). The Author, Jitanchandra Solanki, is an employee of Admiral Markets. This content is a marketing communication and does not constitute independent financial research.
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