How to Trade Palantir After Q4 2025 Earnings

March 09, 2026 18:14

Light bulb with candlestick bars inside it against a blue background, text: ‘How to Trade Palantir: Trade Idea of the Week’.

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) is a U.S.-based software company founded in 2003 that develops platforms designed to help organisations integrate and analyse data. 

The company’s product suite includes platforms such as Gotham, Foundry, and the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). These systems are used by government agencies as well as commercial organisations across a range of industries. 

Palantir recently reported its fourth-quarter 2025 results. Here’s a closer look at its performance and what analysts are forecasting for the stock. 

The information in this article is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Stock: Palantir Technologies Inc (Class A) 
Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: PLTR
Date of Idea: 9 March 2026    
Timeline: 1-12 months
Entry Level: $165.00 
Target Level: $260.00   
Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: Max 5%
Risk: High
  • The Invest.MT5 Account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
  • Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
  • Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.

Trade Palantir Technologies Inc.

Palantir’s Q4 2025 Earnings Performance Summary    

Performance Metric Actual Result Expected Result Beat or Miss?
Adjusted Earnings Per Share $0.25    $0.23  Beat
Revenue $1.41 billion    $1.33 billion    Beat

Key Takeaways 

  • Revenue growth remained exceptionally strong. Q4 revenue rose 70% year over year to $1.407 billion, while full-year revenue increased 56% to $4.475 billion, driven largely by rapid expansion in the U.S., where revenue grew 75%.
  • U.S. Government remained the largest contributor to overall revenue, while the U.S. commercial business grew the fastest.
    • U.S. Government revenue: $1.855 billion in FY2025 (+55% YoY)
    • U.S. Commercial revenue: $1.465 billion (+109% YoY)

This shows the government business still provides the largest base of revenue, while commercial adoption is accelerating much faster.

  • Customer adoption and deal sizes continued to expand. Customer count grew 34% YoY, and the company closed 180 deals worth at least $1 million, including 61 deals of at least $10 million, resulting in a record $4.262 billion in total contract value (up 138% YoY) in Q4.
  • Looking ahead, the company expects revenue of between $7.182 - $7.198 billion in the full year 2026, with U.S. commercial revenue projected to grow at least 115%

Source: Palantir’s Quarterly and Full Year Earnings 

Palantir’s 12-Month Analyst Stock Price Forecast   

According to 20 Wall Street analysts, polled by TipRanks, offering a 12-month stock price forecast for Palantir over the past 3 months:       

  • Buy Ratings: 14
  • Hold Ratings: 4
  • Sell Ratings: 2
  • Average Price Target: $191.76
  • High Price Target: $260.00
  • Low Price Target: $70.00
Palantir Stock Price Analyst Forecast from Admirals Group Macroscope.
Source: Admirals Stock List Macroscope, Palantir Technologies Inc (Class A). Date captured: 9 March 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. 

 

Trading Strategy Example: Palantir Technologies Inc. 

The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions. An example trading idea for the Palantir share price could be as follows:  

Entry: Break above the post-earnings high at $165.00 
Target: Just below the highest analyst price target at $260.00 
Risk: Small, maximum 5% of the account 
Timeline: 1-12 months 
TRADE EXAMPLE  
Buy 10 Palantir Shares: $1,650.00 (10 * $165.00)          
If Target Reached: $950.00 potential profit [($260.00 - $165.00)* 10] 
If Target Not Reached: Let's say a trader decided to close the trade below their entry price, at the lowest analyst price target at $70.00. This would result in a $950.00 loss [($165.00 - $70.00) * 10]
Invest.MT5 Account Commission: 10 shares * $0.02 per share for US stocks = $0.20 (Triggers Minimum Transaction Fee of $1.00) 

Remember, markets are volatile, and Palantir's share price can fluctuate and may even trend lower. While the company reported growth across both government and commercial customers, a significant portion of its revenue still comes from government contracts. As a result, future performance can be influenced by changes in government priorities, defence budgets, or procurement cycles, which are largely outside the company’s direct control. 

How to Buy Palantir Stock in 4 Steps   

  1. Open an account with Admirals and complete the onboarding process to access the dashboard.
  2. Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
  3. Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
  4. Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Palantir Monthly Share Price Chart from Admirals Group MT5 WebTrader
Source: Admirals MetaTrader 5WebTrader. Palantir Technologies Inc (Class A). Monthly chart. Date: September 2020 to March 2026, captured on 9 March 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. For illustrative purposes only. 

 

Trade Palantir Technologies Inc.

 

Do You See the Palantir Stock Price Moving Differently?   

If you believe there is a higher chance that the share price of Palantir will move lower, then you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article. 

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  • The Analysis is prepared by an analyst (hereinafter “Author”). The Author Clarice Mendonsa is a contractor for Admirals. This content is a marketing communication and does not constitute independent financial research.
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Clarice Mendonsa
Clarice Mendonsa Financial Writer, Admirals

Clarice is a financial writer who creates blogs, newsletters, and education materials for Admirals, blending her trading experience and market analysis expertise to deliver insightful content on financial markets.

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