How to Trade Oracle After Fiscal Q3 2025 Performance

March 17, 2025 16:10

Founded in 1977 by Larry Ellison, Oracle is a prominent multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas. It is renowned for its database management software and services, with flagship products like Oracle Database and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. In addition to software, Oracle also offers hardware systems and enterprise software solutions. 

Learn more about Oracle's fiscal third-quarter 2025 performance and what analysts are forecasting for the stock. This material is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Stock: Oracle Inc.
Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: ORCL
Date of Idea: 17 March 2025
Time Line: 1 - 12 months
Entry Level: $153.00
Target Level: $220.00
Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: Max 5%
Risk: High
  • The Invest.MT5 account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
  • Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
  • Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.

Oracle Fiscal Q3 2025 Performance

Here are some of the key highlights from the fiscal third-quarter 2025 earnings report from Oracle: 

  • Earnings per share: $1.47 vs $1.49 expected 
  • Revenue: $14.13 billion vs $14.39 billion 
  • Revenue up 6% and net income up 22% from the same time the prior year 
  • Revenue from Oracle's cloud services business up 10% from a year earlier to $11.01 billion 

Oracle missed analyst expectations on both earnings per share and overall revenue figures. It also provided revenue guidance for growth in the fourth quarter between 8% and 10% which was lower than the 11% analysts were expecting.  

CEO Safra Catz stated that these projections were negatively impacted by losses from an investment in another company. Catz also stated that Oracle will be spending around $16 billion in capital expenditure this year which is more than double from last year.  

Chairman Larry Ellison stated that they are on track to double their data centre capacity this year as customer demand remains at record levels. The company's cloud infrastructure division has boomed due to the demand for computing power for artificial intelligence projects.  

At the start of the year, President Donald Trump announced a collaboration with Oracle, OpenAI and SoftBank to invest billions of dollars into AI infrastructure. The first initiative is known as Stargate and Ellison said the effort to construct data centers in Texas is already underway.  

However, the earnings per share and revenue miss, along with the lower growth guidance have made some analysts wary and is just one of the many possible reasons why there is a mixed rating on the stock as shown below.

Oracle Stock Forecast - What do the Analysts Say?

According to 25 analysts polled by TipRanks for an Oracle stock forecast in the past 3 months, there are currently 13 buy, 12 hold and 0 sell ratings on the stock. The highest price level for a Oracle stock forecast is $220.00 with the lowest price target at $135.00. 

The average price target for a Oracle stock forecast is $179.95.

Source: TipRanks, 17 March 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

 

An Example Trading Idea for the Oracle Stock Price

The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions.

An example trading idea for the Oracle share price could be as follows:  

  • Buy the stock on a break above the post-earnings high of $153.00 to allow for volatility. 
  • Target just below the highest analyst price target of $220.00. 
  • Keep your risk small at a maximum of 5% of your total account.   
  • Time Line = 1 – 12 months  
  • If you buy 10 Oracle shares:  
    • If target is reached = $670.00 potential profit [($220.00 - $153.00) * 10 shares].

Remember that markets go up and down. In fact, the stock price may even go much further down, especially due to the lower guidance from Oracle and the recent fall in its share price.

It is important to exercise good risk management and always know how much you could potentially lose on a trade and the risks involved, as well as the costs.

With the Admiral Markets Invest.MT5 account you can buy and sell US stocks with a commission from $0.02 per share. This means buying 10 shares in Oracle stock would result in a commission of $0.20 ($0.02 * 10 shares) for executing a per-side transaction.

However, there is a minimum transaction fee of $1. So, the example trading idea above would result in a commission of $1 overall.

How to Buy Oracle Stock in 4 Steps  

With Admiral Markets, you can buy shares in US companies like Oracle with a commission from $0.02 per share and a minimum commission of $1. 

  1. Open an account with Admiral Markets to access the dashboard.
  2. Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
  3. Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
  4. Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Source: Admiral Markets. MetaTrader 5 Web Trader. Oracle. Monthly. Date: January 2018 to March 2025, captured on 17 March 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance.

 

 

Do You See the Oracle Stock Price Moving Differently?   

If you believe there is a higher chance the share price of Oracle will move lower, then you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article.

INFORMATION ABOUT ANALYTICAL MATERIALS: 

The given data provides additional information regarding all analysis, estimates, prognosis, forecasts, market reviews, weekly outlooks or other similar assessments or information (hereinafter “Analysis”) published on the websites of Admiral Markets' investment firms operating under the Admiral Markets trademark (hereinafter “Admiral Markets”). Before making any investment decisions, please pay close attention to the following:  

1. This is a marketing communication. The content is published for informative purposes only and is in no way to be construed as investment advice or recommendation. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.  

2. Any investment decision is made by each client alone whereas Admiral Markets shall not be responsible for any loss or damage arising from any such decision, whether or not based on the content.  

3. With view to protecting the interests of our clients and the objectivity of the Analysis, Admiral Markets has established relevant internal procedures for prevention and management of conflicts of interest.  

4. The Analysis is prepared by an analyst (hereinafter “Author”). The Author, Jitanchandra Solanki, is an employee of Admiral Markets. This content is a marketing communication and does not constitute independent financial research.

5. Whilst every reasonable effort is taken to ensure that all sources of the content are reliable and that all information is presented, as much as possible, in an understandable, timely, precise and complete manner, Admiral Markets does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within the Analysis.  

6. Any kind of past or modeled performance of financial instruments indicated within the content should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets for any future performance. The value of the financial instrument may both increase and decrease, and the preservation of the asset value is not guaranteed.  

7. Leveraged products (including contracts for difference) are speculative in nature and may result in losses or profit. Before you start trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. 

Jitanchandra Solanki
Jitanchandra Solanki Financial Markets Author, Admirals London

Jitanchandra is a financial markets author with more than 15 years experience trading currencies, indices and US equities. He is an accredited Market Technician with a BA Hons degree.