How to Trade Exxon Mobil After Q3 2025 Performance

January 06, 2026 09:45

Light bulb with candlestick bars inside it against a blue background, text: ‘How to Trade Exxon Mobil Corp. Trade Idea of the Week’

Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) is among the world’s largest energy companies and chemical manufacturers by market capitalisation, with operations spanning the entire oil and gas value chain. The company is active in upstream activities such as the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, as well as downstream operations that include refining, marketing, and the distribution of petroleum products. 

Alongside its core oil and gas business, Exxon has been increasing its focus on lower-carbon solutions in recent years. This includes investments in areas such as carbon capture and storage, low-carbon hydrogen, and other initiatives aimed at supporting the energy transition while meeting global demand. 

The company recently released its third-quarter 2025 earnings results. Below, we take a closer look at how Exxon performed during the quarter and what analysts are currently forecasting for the stock. 

This material is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Stock: Exxon Mobil Corp.  
Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: XOM
Date of Idea: 5 January 2026 
Timeline: 1-12 months
Entry Level: $119.70  
Target Level: $158.00 
Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: Max 5%
Risk: High
  • The Invest.MT5 account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
  • Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
  • Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.

Trade Exxon Mobil Corp.

Exxon Mobil’s Q3 2025 Performance Summary  

Performance Metric Actual Result Expected Result Beat or Miss?
Earnings per Share $1.88 (Adjusted) $1.82  Beat
Revenue $85.29 billion  $87.7 billion  Miss ❌ 

Key Takeaways 

  • Exxon Mobil reported total revenue of $85.3 billion for the quarter, down from $90 billion a year ago. Net earnings were $7.5 billion ($1.76 per share), compared with $8.6 billion ($1.92 per share) in Q3 2024, reflecting a decline in profitability year-over-year due to weaker crude oil prices, bottom-of-cycle chemical margins and higher costs.
  • Production continued to grow, with record outputs in the Permian Basin about 1.7 million Barrels of Oil Equivalent (BOE) per day and Guyana (over 700,000 BOE/d).
  • The company is expanding its footprint through Permian acreage acquisitions and investments in carbon materials and computing technologies, supporting long-term growth initiatives.
  • Despite lower YoY earnings, Exxon raised its quarterly dividend by 4% to $1.03 per share, marking the 43rd consecutive year of higher annual dividend payments. 
Source: Exxon Mobil’s Quarterly Results and Earnings Presentation

 

Exxon Mobil’s 12-Month Analyst Stock Price Forecast

According to 19 Wall Street analysts, polled by TipRanks, offering a 12-month stock price forecast for Exxon over the past 3 months:  

  • Buy Ratings: 12
  • Hold Ratings: 7
  • Sell Ratings: 0  
  • Average Price Target: $132.33
  • High Price Target: $158.00
  • Low Price Target: $114.00
Exxon Mobil Stock Price Analyst Forecast from Admiral Markets Group Macroscope
Source: Admiral Markets Stock List Macroscope, Exxon Mobil Corp. Date Captured: 5 January 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. 

 

Trading Strategy Example: Exxon Mobil 

The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions. An example trading idea for the Exxon Mobil share price could be as follows:

Entry: Pullback to prior post-earnings high at $119.70
Target: Just below the highest analyst price target at $158.00 
Risk: Small, maximum 5% of the account 
Timeline: 1-12 months 
TRADE EXAMPLE  
Buy 10 Exxon Mobil Shares: $1,197 (10 * $119.70) 
If Target Reached: $383.00 potential profit [($158.00 - $119.70) * 10] 
If Target Not Reached: Let's say a trader decided to close the trade below their entry price, at the lowest analyst price target at $114. This would result in a $57.00 loss [($119.70 - $114.00) * 10] 
Invest.MT5 Account Commission: 10 shares * $0.02 per share for US stocks = $0.20 (Triggers Minimum Transaction Fee of $1.00) 

Remember, markets are volatile, and the share price of Exxon Mobil will fluctuate and may even trend lower. While Exxon has diversified exposure across upstream, downstream, and chemicals, its valuation remains sensitive to global oil and gas prices.  

Recent events in Venezuela highlight ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in global energy markets, which may add volatility to crude prices and may impact sentiment toward oil majors.  

How to Buy Exxon Mobil Stock in 4 Steps  

  1. Open an account with Admiral Markets and complete the onboarding process to access the dashboard.
  2. Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
  3. Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
  4. Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Exxon Mobil's Monthly Share Price Chart from Admiral Markets Group MT5 WebTrader
Source: Admiral Markets MetaTrader 5. Exxon Mobil Corp. Monthly chart. Date: August 2015 to January 2026, captured on 5 January 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. For illustrative purposes only. 

 

Trade Exxon Mobil Corp.

 

Do You See the Exxon Mobil Stock Price Moving Differently? 

If you believe there is a higher chance that the share price of Exxon will move lower, you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article.  

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Clarice Mendonsa
Clarice Mendonsa Financial Writer, Admiral Markets

Clarice is a financial writer who creates blogs, newsletters, and education materials for Admiral Markets, blending her trading experience and market analysis expertise to deliver insightful content on financial markets.

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