How to Trade NVIDIA After Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance

June 02, 2025 22:35

Founded in 1993, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is a leading technology company specialising in high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs). These power gaming consoles, data centres, artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning technologies.

Learn more about NVIDIA's fiscal first-quarter 2026 performance and what analysts are forecasting for the stock. This material is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Stock: NVIDIA Corp.
Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: NVDA
Date of Idea: 2 June 2025
Timeline: 1 - 12 months
Entry Level: $145.00
Target Level: $210.00
Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: Max 5%
Risk: High
  • The Invest.MT5 account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
  • Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
  • Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.

NVIDIA Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Summary 

Performance Metric Actual Result Expected Result Beat or Miss?
Earnings per Share $0.96 $0.93 Beat
Revenue $44.06 billion $43.31 billion Beat

Key Takeaways 

  • Record revenue of $44.1 billion, up 69% year-over-year 
  • $39.1 billion of revenue from the Data Center, up 73% year-over-year due to strong demand for AI infrastructure 
  • Gaming revenue record of $3.8 billion, up 42% year-over-year 
  • $4.5 billion charge due to US government's export restrictions on H20 products to China 
  • Plans to build AI factories in the US, Taiwan, Saudi Arabia and the UAE 
  • Q2 2026 revenue outlook of approximately $45.0 billion, which includes expected $8.0 billion loss in H20 revenue due to export control limitations 

Source: NVIDIA Quarterly Results 

NVIDIA 12-Month Analyst Stock Price Forecast

According to 41 Wall Street analysts, polled by TipRanks, offering a 12-month stock price forecast for NVIDIA over the past 3 months: 

  • Buy Ratings: 36 
  • Hold Ratings: 4  
  • Sell Ratings: 1 
  • Average Price Target: $171.62  
  • High Price Target: $210.00 
  • Low Price Target: $100.00
Source: Admiral Markets Stock List Macroscope, NVIDIA. 2 June 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

 

Trading Strategy Example: NVIDIA 

The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions. An example trading idea for the NVIDIA share price could be as follows:

Entry: Above post-earnings high at $145.00 
Target: Just below the highest analyst price target at $250.00 
Risk: Small, maximum 5% of the account 
Timeline: 1-12 months 
TRADE EXAMPLE  
Buy 10 NVIDIA Shares: $1,450 (10 * $145.00) 
If Target Reached: $1,050 potential profit ($250.00 - $145.00 * 10) 
Invest.MT5 Account Commission: 10 shares * $0.02 per share for US stocks = $0.20 (Triggers Minimum Transaction Fee of $1.00) 

Remember that markets go up and down. The stock price may even go much further down, especially due to some of the headwinds NVIDIA faces from uncertainty around trade tariffs and US government export restrictions to China.  

How to Buy NVIDIA Stock in 4 Steps  

  1. Open an account with Admiral Markets to access the dashboard.
  2. Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
  3. Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
  4. Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Source: Admiral Markets. MetaTrader 5 Web Trader. NVIDIA. Monthly. Date: December 2017 to June 2025, captured on 2 June 2025. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance.

 

Do You See the NVIDIA Stock Price Moving Differently?   

If you believe there is a higher chance the share price of NVIDIA will move lower, then you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article.

INFORMATION ABOUT ANALYTICAL MATERIALS: 

The given data provides additional information regarding all analysis, estimates, prognosis, forecasts, market reviews, weekly outlooks or other similar assessments or information (hereinafter “Analysis”) published on the websites of Admiral Markets' investment firms operating under the Admiral Markets trademark (hereinafter “Admiral Markets”). Before making any investment decisions, please pay close attention to the following:  

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4. The Analysis is prepared by an analyst (hereinafter “Author”). The Author, Jitanchandra Solanki, is an employee of Admiral Markets. This content is a marketing communication and does not constitute independent financial research.

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7. Leveraged products (including contracts for difference) are speculative in nature and may result in losses or profit. Before you start trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. 

Jitanchandra Solanki
Jitanchandra Solanki Financial Markets Author, Admirals London

Jitanchandra is a financial markets author with more than 15 years experience trading currencies, indices and US equities. He is an accredited Market Technician with a BA Hons degree.