How to Trade Costco After Fiscal Q4 2025 Performance
Founded in 1983 and headquartered in Issaquah, Washington, Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) operates one of the world's largest membership-based warehouse retail chains. The company's current focus is to drive revenue through new warehouse openings, strengthening its private-label brand Kirkland Signature and increasing digital sales.
Learn more about Costco's fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 performance and what analysts are forecasting for the stock. This material is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
| Stock: | Costco Wholesale Inc. |
| Symbol for Invest.MT5 Account: | COST |
| Date of Idea: | 29 September 2025 |
| Timeline: | 1 - 12 months |
| Entry Level: | $956.00 |
| Target Level: | $1,218.00 |
| Position Size for Invest.MT5 Account: | Max 5% |
| Risk: | High |
- The Invest.MT5 account allows you to buy real stocks and shares from some of the largest stock exchanges in the world.
- Risk Warning: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or future performance. All trading is high risk, and you can lose more than you risk on a trade. Never invest more than you can afford to lose as some trades will lose and some trades will win. Start small to understand your own risk tolerance levels or practice on a demo account first to build your knowledge before investing.
- Trading is not suitable for everyone. Trading is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. While it offers potential opportunities, it also involves high volatility, and leveraged trading can amplify both gains and losses. Retail investors should fully understand these risks before trading.
Costco Fiscal Q4 2025 Performance Summary
| Performance Metric | Actual Result | Expected Result | Beat or Miss? |
| Earnings per Share | $5.05 | $4.80 | Beat ✅ |
| Revenue | $79.3 billion | $77.5 billion | Beat ✅ |
Key Takeaways
- Revenue +9% Year-over-Year (YoY); operating margin 3.7% (up from 3.4% a year ago). Earnings per share rose to $5.05 (+12% YoY).
- Guidance raised: Full Year 2026 revenue now projected at $345 billion-$350 billion
- $1.2 billion in share repurchases, around ~2.3 million shares.
- Free cash flow of $4.6 billion.
- Membership renewal rates hit a record 93.4% in the US and Canada. Total number of paid households up 7% YoY to 76 million.
- Online sales grew +14% YoY, driven by fresh foods, same-day delivery, and expanded third-party marketplace offerings.
- Management highlighted ongoing investments in new warehouse openings (28 expected in 2025), supply-chain automation, and sustainability initiatives to reduce long-term operating costs.
- Risks remain around consumer spending in response to rising inflation, wage and freight cost pressures, and foreign exchange impacts given Costco’s growing international presence.
Source: Costco Quarterly Results
Costco 12-Month Analyst Stock Price Forecast
According to 24 Wall Street analysts, polled by TipRanks, offering a 12-month stock price forecast for Costco over the past 3 months:
- Buy Ratings: 14
- Hold Ratings: 10
- Sell Ratings: 0
- Average Price Target: $1,078.74
- High Price Target: $1,218.00
- Low Price Target: $907.00
Trading Strategy Example: Costco
The following trading examples are for educational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct independent research before making trading decisions. An example trading idea for the Costco share price could be as follows:
| Entry: | Break above post-earnings high at $956.00 |
| Target: | Just below the highest analyst price target at $1,218.00 |
| Risk: | Small, maximum 5% of the account |
| Timeline: | 1-12 months |
| TRADE EXAMPLE | |
| Buy 10 Costco Shares: | $9,560 (10 * $956.00) |
| If Target Reached: | $2,620 potential profit [($1,218.00 - $956.00) * 10] |
| If Target Not Reached: | Let's say a trader decided to close the trade below their entry price, at the lowest analyst price target of $907.00. This would result in a $490 loss [($907.00 - $956.00) * 10] |
| Invest.MT5 Account Commission: | 10 shares * $0.02 per share for US stocks = $0.20 (Triggers Minimum Transaction Fee of $1.00) |
Remember that markets are volatile, and Costco’s stock price will fluctuate. Despite its strong earnings and raised guidance, issues remain regarding inflation, competition from other big-box retailers, and the uncertainty of global consumer trends. The stock price is currently about 15% below its record high from February 2025 and may even trend lower.
How to Buy Costco Stock in 4 Steps
- Open an account with Admiral Markets by completing the onboarding process.
- Click on Trade or Invest on one of your live or demo accounts to open the web platform.
- Search for your stock in the search window at the top.
- Input your entry, stop-loss and take profit levels in the trading ticket.
Do You See the Costco Stock Price Moving Differently?
If you believe there is a higher chance the share price of Costco will move lower, then you can also trade short using CFDs (Contracts for Difference). However, these have higher associated risks and are not suitable for all investors. Learn more about CFDs in this How to Trade CFDs article.
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