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DAX30 CFD bulls are likely in charge of the action till the FED

Oktober 28, 2019 08:30

Economic event chart

Source: Economic Events 28 October 2019 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar

As expected, the ECB's key interest rate decision last Thursday didn't provide any significant volatility in the DAX30 CFD. And, with the economic calendar being thin today, it's difficult to see significant impulses on either side.

Currently, the German index has stabilised between 12,800 and 12,900 points, but this is on an Hourly time-frame above 12,600 points with a clear bullish tendency.

In fact, given the latest news around the massive liquidity injections from the FED, conducting nearly 65 billion USD in overnight repurchase agreements and another 35 billion USD in repo operation last Tuesday alone, it's difficult to see Equities come under serious pressure in the near-term, especially with the FED rate decision taking place next Wednesday.

The reason for that: since 1980 research shows a clear bullish tendency "Pre-FOMC", not only in US-equities, but also in the DAX30 CFD. That's especially true with a flattening US-yield curve and volatility being solid. Here, on average, nearly 80% of all profits in the S&P 500 were made within eight days leading up to the interest rate decision.

With that in mind, and the DAX30 CFD trading above 12,800 points, another push up to last week's and current yearly highs around 12,920 has a higher probability than a push lower and test of the region around 12,600 points:


Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Hourly chart (between 07 October 2019 to 25 October 2019). Accessed: 25 October 2019 at 10:00 PM GMT


Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on DAX30 CFD Daily chart (between 19 July 2018 to 25 October 2019). Accessed: 25 October 2019 at 10:00 PM GMT

Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.

In 2014, the value of the DAX30 CFD increased by 2.65%, in 2015, it increased by 9.56%, in 2016 it increased by 6.87%, in 2017 it increased by 12.51%, in 2018 it fell by 18.26%, meaning that after five years, it was up by 10.5%.

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