77% of retail accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Admiral Markets Group consists of the following firms:

Admiral Markets Pty Ltd

Regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC)
CONTINUE

Admiral Markets Cyprus Ltd

Regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC)
CONTINUE

Admiral Markets UK Ltd

Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)
CONTINUE
Note: If you close this window without choosing a firm, you agree to proceed under the FCA (UK) regulation.
Note: If you close this window without choosing a firm, you agree to proceed under the FCA (UK) regulation.
Regulator asic CySEC fca

Will ADP disappoint similar to the ISM and push Gold back above 1,500?

October 02, 2019 10:30

Source: Economic Events October 2, 2019 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar


Today, our focus will be on Gold and the potential market-moving news event "ADP Employment Change".

With the precious metal breaking below 1,480 into the start of the week, a significant short-term region of support, it pushed back above after the ISM Manufacturing index fell to 47.8% for September, marking the lowest level since June 2009 and ISM employment dropping to 46.3 points.

This is all in all not a very good sign in regards to today's ADP data set, since the previous prints can all in all be considered 'mixed' in our opinion with private businesses hired 195k workers in August 2019 (more than the expected 149k), but July's numbers were downwardly revised to 142k a weak print is definitely an option.

That said, a reading significantly below the expected 140k would potentially trigger US dollar weakness and thus Gold would help to make it back towards 1,500 USD, further increasing chances of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed into the end.

On the other hand, a surprisingly better than expected reading could result in a continuation of the bearish momentum isn't something we consider to be a big deal, since we see a potential mid-term long trigger around 1,440/450 USD with the overall mid-term price target on the upside around 1,650/700 USD staying active:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5-SE Add-on Gold Daily chart (between July 3, 2018, to October 1, 2019). Accessed: October 1, 2019, at 10:00pm GMT - Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, or future performance.

In 2014, the value of Gold fell by 1.7%, in 2015, it fell by 10.4%, in 2016, it increased by 8.1%, in 2017, it increased by 13.1%, in 2018, it fell by 1.6%, meaning that after five years, it was up by 6.4%.


Discover the world's #1 multi-asset platform

Admiral Markets offers professional traders the ability to trade with a custom, upgraded version of MetaTrader 5, allowing you to experience trading at a significantly higher, more rewarding level. Experience benefits such as the addition of the Market Heat Map, so you can compare various currency pairs to see which ones might be lucrative investments, access real-time trading data, and so much more. Click the banner below to start your FREE download of MT5 Supreme Edition!

Download MetaTrader 5 and begin trading today!

Disclaimer: The given data provides additional information regarding all analysis, estimates, prognosis, forecasts or other similar assessments or information (hereinafter "Analysis") published on the website of Admiral Markets. Before making any investment decisions please pay close attention to the following:

  1. This is a marketing communication. The analysis is published for informative purposes only and are in no way to be construed as investment advice or recommendation. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
  2. Any investment decision is made by each client alone whereas Admiral Markets shall not be responsible for any loss or damage arising from any such decision, whether or not based on the Analysis.
  3. Each of the Analysis is prepared by an independent analyst (Jens Klatt, Professional Trader and Analyst, hereinafter "Author") based on the Author's personal estimations.
  4. To ensure that the interests of the clients would be protected and objectivity of the Analysis would not be damaged Admiral Markets has established relevant internal procedures for prevention and management of conflicts of interest.
  5. Whilst every reasonable effort is taken to ensure that all sources of the Analysis are reliable and that all information is presented, as much as possible, in an understandable, timely, precise and complete manner, Admiral Markets does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within the Analysis. The presented figures refer that refer to any past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
  6. The contents of the Analysis should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets that the client shall profit from the strategies therein or that losses in connection therewith may or shall be limited.
  7. Any kind of previous or modeled performance of financial instruments indicated within the Publication should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets for any future performance. The value of the financial instrument may both increase and decrease and the preservation of the asset value is not guaranteed.
  8. The projections included in the Analysis may be subject to additional fees, taxes or other charges, depending on the subject of the Publication. The price list applicable to the services provided by Admiral Markets is publicly available from the website of Admiral Markets.
  9. Leveraged products (including contracts for difference) are speculative in nature and may result in losses or profit. Before you start trading, you should make sure that you understand all the risks.