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USD/JPY Triangle Pattern Waiting for A Decisive Breakout

October 11, 2018 10:39

USD/JPY

4 hour

USDJPY Hourly Chart - Wave Analysis

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 11 October 2018 at 5:30 AM GMT

The USDJPY currency pair is testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which is the very last support level that could fit within a potential wave 4 (blue) pattern. A bearish break indicates a bearish swing and a new wave pattern, whereas a bullish bounce could still lead to a bullish continuation within wave 5 (blue), if the price manages to break above the resistance trend line (red).

1 hour

USDJPY Hourly Chart - Wave Analysis

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 11 October 2018 at 5:30 AM GMT

The USD/JPY is showing indecisive candlestick patterns at the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Corrective price action could however indicate a change in wave patterns, and could be a wave 4 (red), whereas bullish price action will need to break above the resistance trend line (red) to confirm a potential wave 4-5 (blue).

Weekly

USDJPY Daily Chart - Wave Analysis

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 11 October 2018 at 5:30 AM GMT

The USD/JPY currency pair is falling quickly which makes a wave 4 pattern less likely. The recent high is probably the end of the wave Y (pink) of the wave D (purple), but a break below the support trend line (blue) would confirm that.

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