Oil Prices Rise as US Stocks Record Disappointing Quarter

April 01, 2025 10:44

Today marks the end of what was, to say the least, an eventful first quarter and one which Wall Street may wish to forget. Let’s take a look at what's been happening in more detail and see what else lies ahead this week.

Please note that this material is for information purposes only and is not financial advice.

US Stocks Slide in Q1

Despite posting a gain of 0.6% yesterday, the S&P 500 index closed the first three months of the year down 4.6%, marking its worst quarter since 2022.  

The US stock market has been roiled in recent weeks by fears that Donald Trump’s tariffs will hamper economic growth in the world’s largest economy. 

Tech heavyweights led the quarterly declines on Wall Street, with Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Tesla, Amazon and Microsoft all slipping more than 10% during Q1. The worst of these casualties was Tesla, which shed a whopping 36% of its share price during the quarter. 

Oil Prices Jump

Oil prices have been steadily rising the last couple of weeks and, despite concerns regarding global growth, jumped in yesterday’s session.  

Benchmarks Brent and WTI ended Monday with gains of 2.8% and 2.9% respectively and continued climbing early on Tuesday morning. 

The increases came following threats from President Trump to impose secondary tariffs on Russian oil. The previous day, Sunday, Trump had also threatened Iran with secondary tariffs and “bombing the likes of which they have never seen before” if they did not reach an agreement with Washington regarding its nuclear program. 

Secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil would essentially penalise any nation which purchases oil from either of these two countries. These upside risks to oil prices appear to currently be outweighing the downside risk posed by global growth concerns.  

Oil traders may want to pay attention to weekly crude inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) later on Tuesday. The official inventory figures will be published on Wednesday by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). 

US Nonfarm Payroll

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release its Employment Situation report for March, part of which is the ever important nonfarm payroll.

In February’s report, total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 151,000. This figure was higher than the previous month but lower than the expected 160,000. Market analysts expect March’s nonfarm payroll to be reported at a lower 128,000.

Remember, you can keep up to date with the nonfarm payroll and other important economic announcements using our Economic Calendar

Practise Trading on a Risk-Free Demo Account

Are you interested in practising trading without risking your funds? A demo trading account from Admiral Markets allows you to do just that, whilst trading in realistic market conditions. Click the banner below to open a demo account today: 

Trade with a risk-free demo account

Practise trading with virtual funds

INFORMATION ABOUT ANALYTICAL MATERIALS:

The given data provides additional information regarding all analysis, estimates, prognosis, forecasts, market reviews, weekly outlooks or other similar assessments or information (hereinafter “Analysis”) published on the websites of Admiral Markets' investment firms operating under the Admiral Markets trademark (hereinafter “Admiral Markets”). Before making any investment decisions please pay close attention to the following: 

  1. This is a marketing communication. The content is published for informative purposes only and is in no way to be construed as investment advice or recommendation. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and that it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
  2. Any investment decision is made by each client alone whereas Admiral Markets shall not be responsible for any loss or damage arising from any such decision, whether or not based on the content.
  3. With view to protecting the interests of our clients and the objectivity of the Analysis, Admiral Markets has established relevant internal procedures for prevention and management of conflicts of interest.
  4. The Analysis is prepared by an analyst (hereinafter “Author”). The Author, Roberto Rivero is a contractor for Admiral Markets. This content is a marketing communication and does not constitute independent financial research."
  5. Whilst every reasonable effort is taken to ensure that all sources of the content are reliable and that all information is presented, as much as possible, in an understandable, timely, precise and complete manner, Admiral Markets does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within the Analysis.
  6. Any kind of past or modeled performance of financial instruments indicated within the content should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Admiral Markets for any future performance. The value of the financial instrument may both increase and decrease and the preservation of the asset value is not guaranteed.
  7. Leveraged products (including contracts for difference) are speculative in nature and may result in losses or profit. Before you start trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Roberto Rivero
Roberto Rivero Financial Writer, Admirals, London

Roberto spent 11 years designing trading and decision-making systems for traders and fund managers and a further 13 years at S&P, working with professional investors. He has a BSc in Economics and an MBA and has been an active investor since the mid-1990s